The end of the earnings season is always a good time to take a step back and see who shined (and who not so much). Let’s take a look at how online retail stocks fared in Q1, starting with Amazon AMZN.
Consumers ever rising demand for convenience, selection, and speed are secular engines underpinning ecommerce adoption. For years prior to Covid, ecommerce penetration as a percentage of overall retail would grow 1-2% annually, but in 2020 adoption accelerated by 5%, reaching 25%, as increased emphasis on convenience drove consumers to structurally buy more online. The surge in buying caused many online retailers to rapidly grow their logistics infrastructures, preparing them for further growth in the years ahead as consumer shopping habits continue to shift online.
The 5 online retail stocks we track reported a very strong Q1. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 2.7% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was in line.
Amidst this news, share prices of the companies have had a rough stretch. On average, they are down 15.8% since the latest earnings results.
The market was likely pricing in the results, and the stock is flat since reporting. It currently trades at $262.61.
Carvana CVNA
Known for its glass tower car vending machines, Carvana CVNA provides a convenient automotive shopping experience by offering an online platform for buying and selling used cars.
Carvana reported revenues of $6.43 billion, up 52% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 6%. The business had a very strong quarter with a solid beat of analysts’ revenue estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.
Founded by Jeff Bezos after quitting his stock-picking job at D.E. Shaw, Amazon AMZN is the world’s largest online retailer and provider of cloud computing services.
Amazon reported revenues of $181.5 billion, up 16.6% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 2.4%. Overall, it was a stunning quarter for the company with an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and revenue guidance for next quarter exceeding analysts’ expectations.
“We’re making customers’ lives easier and better every day across all our businesses, and their response is driving significant growth,” said Andy Jassy, President and CEO, Amazon.
Carvana pulled off the biggest analyst estimates beat and fastest revenue growth among its peers. Although it had a fine quarter compared its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 15.5% since reporting. It currently trades at $67.05.
Weakest Q1: Coupang CPNG
Founded in 2010 by Harvard Business School student Bom Kim, Coupang CPNG is an e-commerce giant often referred to as the "Amazon of South Korea".
Coupang reported revenues of $8.50 billion, up 7.5% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 0.6%. Still, it was a satisfactory quarter as it posted an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.
Coupang delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates in the group. The company reported 23.9 million active buyers, up 2.1% year on year. As expected, the stock is down 21.8% since the results and currently trades at $16.24.
Wayfair W
Founded in 2002 by Niraj Shah, Wayfair W is a leading online retailer of mass-market home goods in the US, UK, Canada, and Germany.
Wayfair reported revenues of $2.93 billion, up 7.4% year on year. This number topped analysts’ expectations by 1.4%. Overall, it was a strong quarter as it also put up a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a narrow beat of analysts’ revenue estimates.
Wayfair had the slowest revenue growth among its peers. The company reported 21.4 million active buyers, up 1.4% year on year. The stock is down 20.8% since reporting and currently trades at $58.00.
Revolve RVLV
Launched in 2003 by software engineers Michael Mente and Mike Karanikolas, Revolve (NASDAQ:NYSE) is a fashion retailer leveraging social media and a community of fashion influencers to drive its merchandising strategy.
Revolve reported revenues of $342.9 million, up 15.6% year on year. This print beat analysts’ expectations by 4.2%. It was a strong quarter as it also recorded an impressive beat of analysts’ revenue estimates and a narrow beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.
The company reported 2.93 million active buyers, up 8.3% year on year. The stock is down 20.6% since reporting and currently trades at $18.62.
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